Discover your IRS audit chances! Learn about audit rates, common triggers like high income and deductions, and what to expect if selected.

The question of "what are my chances of being audited?" is one of the most common worries among taxpayers. The word "audit" alone can cause anxiety, but for most people, the process is far less intimidating than they imagine. This article breaks down the latest IRS statistics, explains what factors increase the likelihood of an audit, and clarifies what happens if your return is selected for review.
First, let's establish a baseline. According to the most recent IRS Data Book, the Internal Revenue Service audited just 0.38% of all individual income tax returns filed in calendar year 2021. That translates to roughly 1 audit for every 263 returns filed. This rate is near a historic low, largely due to IRS budget constraints and staffing shortages over the past decade.
However, that single number is deceptive. The real story isn't the overall audit rate but how that rate changes based on income level and return complexity. The probability of an audit isn't evenly distributed; it rises significantly as income grows.
Here’s a look at the examination rates by individual, non-business income for the tax year 2019 (the most recent year with complete data by these brackets):
As you can see, taxpayers earning over $10 million were more than twenty times as likely to be audited as those earning between $200,000 and $500,000. It’s also important to note the expected trend. With substantial new funding earmarked for enforcement, the IRS plans to significantly increase exam rates, particularly for high-income earners and complex partnerships and corporations. These historically low rates are not expected to last.
The IRS doesn't have the resources to review every return, so it uses powerful automated systems to flag returns with the highest probability of errors. While some audits are truly random, most are selected for specific reasons. Here are the most common triggers that can draw IRS scrutiny.
This is the most straightforward factor. As shown in the statistics above, the more you earn, the higher your audit risk. High-income returns often involve complex investments, business structures, and deductions, giving the IRS more to examine and presenting a greater potential for tax adjustments.
The primary tool the IRS uses to select returns is a secret computer program called the Discriminant Information Function, or DIF. This system compares returns against a set of norms and assigns each one a score. A high DIF score indicates that the return has characteristics suggesting a high potential for unreported income or overstated deductions. Returns with high scores are then passed to a human agent for a formal review to decide if an audit is warranted.
The IRS excels at matching information. Its systems automatically cross-reference the income you report on your return against third-party informational returns like W-2s from employers and 1099 forms from clients or financial institutions (e.g., Form 1099-INT for interest, 1099-DIV for dividends, 1099-NEC for freelance income). A mismatch between what a third party reports paying you and what is reported on a return is one of the easiest ways to trigger an automatic notice and potential audit.
Your return is compared to others in a similar income bracket. Claiming unusually large deductions for your income level can raise a red flag. For instance, if a taxpayer with a $150,000 income claims $50,000 in charitable contributions, the system may flag that as abnormal. The same goes for large, unsubstantiated business expenses, home office deductions that seem too aggressive (like claiming 60% of a home's area), or extensive meal and entertainment expenses.
Self-employed individuals report their business income and expenses on Schedule C. The IRS understands start-ups and small businesses may not be profitable immediately, but it expects businesses to eventually make money. If a Schedule C filer reports substantial losses year after year, it can trigger what is known as the "Hobby Loss Rule." The IRS may question whether the activity is a genuine business entered into for profit or simply a hobby. If it’s deemed a hobby, the losses cannot be used to offset other income.
Due to the complex rules around qualifying children, income, and marital status, the EITC has a historically high error rate. As a result, returns claiming this credit face a higher-than-average examination rate. That's why meticulous record-keeping and double-checking eligibility are so important for these taxpayers.
An audit doesn’t always mean an IRS agent is coming to your office. In fact, most examinations are much simpler and handled entirely through the mail.
Start using Feather now and get audit-ready answers in seconds.
If you receive an audit notice, your role as a trusted advisor becomes more important than ever. Calm, methodical execution is everything.
An audit is an information-gathering and verification process. By being organized, responsive, and working through a qualified representative, most taxpayers can resolve the matter with minimal stress.
While the overall chance of an audit is low for the average taxpayer, the risk changes with income, business activities, and specific deductions. Knowing the triggers and what the different types of audits consist of lets you prepare tax returns more defensively and respond confidently if and when the IRS sends a notice.
Building a defensible position for a return or responding effectively to an audit notice starts with knowing precisely what the tax code says. Instead of spending hours hunting through IRS publications for the right citation, we use Feather AI to get clear, citation-backed answers in seconds. It ensures our positions are supported by authoritative sources, giving us and our clients peace of mind.
Written by Feather Team
Published on December 29, 2025